this post was submitted on 20 May 2024
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They kinda suck, and this isn't likely to change.
The Hindenburg was 245m long, carried around 50 crew plus 60 or so passengers. It needs all that length to have enough volume to lift that many people. The laws of physics are a limitation here; even figuring out a vaccum rigid air ship would only slightly improve this (it's a neat engineering problem, but not very practical for a variety of reasons). Maybe the crew size could shrink somewhat, but the fact is that you've got a giant thing for handling around 100 people.
An Airbus a380 is 72m long and carries over 500 passengers and crew.
The Hindenburg made the transatlantic journey in around 100 hours. You could consider it more like a cruise than a flight--you travel there in luxury and don't care that it takes longer. You would expect it to be priced accordingly. In fact, given the smaller passenger size compared to the crew size, I'd expect it to be priced like a river cruise rather than an ocean cruise. Those tend to be more exclusive and priced even higher.
Being ground crew for blimps was a dangerous job. You're holding onto a rope, and then the wind shifts and you get pulled with it. This could certainly be done more safely today with the right equipment. Don't expect the industry to actually do that without stiff regulations stepping in.
Overall, they suck and would only be a luxury travel option. Continental cargo is better done by trains. Trans continental cargo is better done by boats. There isn't much of a use case anywhere.
So what you’re saying is we should expect Elon Musk to start a zeppelin company at some point in the near future.
Yes, that's correct.
And thus the transformation into Max Zorin is complete.
I'm already buying shares in BlimpX! He's a visionary, first Hyperloop, now BlimpX! What'll be the next thing from 80+ year old popular science mags for the real life Tony Stark will invent?
To be honest it's pretty unfair to compare something built before humans sent anything into space, vs something after we've made it to Mars. There is over 60 years of innovation between the Hindenburg and the airbus.
The whole idea was losing out to the DC-3 already.
Airships only make sense in a world in which the economy takes into account ecodestruction. Kind of like wind-powered ships. If we didn't know what GHGs do environmentally, which offset any short-term efficiency gains provided by burning hydrocarons, nobody would ever dream of abandoning these miracle fuels. So you can only examine the efficiency of airships with hydrocarbons off the table entirely.
They do plenty of ecodestruction. If we had them now, they'd be fueled by hydrocarbons. That could hypothetically be batteries in the future, but batteries good enough for that could do equally well in airplanes.
The material used in making them rigid also has a carbon cost.
Don’t forget that they are huge, you could fit a lot of solar power on them, given that it would be light enough
It wouldn't be light enough. Panels weight about 19kg each for a 1x1.7m panel. This can probably be slimmed down for the application, but probably not by enough. Perovskite promises a lighter weight panel, but they still have longevity issues that are being worked out in the lab.
Why not put those panels on a boat instead? Or in a field and power a train?
"Thin film solar is light weight at 7-10 ounces per square foot. "
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thin-film_solar_cell
Your 1 panel at less than 2 sqm weighs as much as more than 6 square meters of thin film. The 40 or 50% better relative efficiency doesn't make up for the increased square footage. What kind of wattage would we even need?
Hindenburg used 4x 735kW diesel engines which need to be powered constantly (almost 3MW overall). That is the output at the shaft, which means we need electric motors that match that. Fortunately, electric motors are pretty efficient.
Thin-film can do 80-120W per m^2. That's the rating when the sun is shining directly on them. We'll assume it's flying above the cloud layer and don't need to worry about that.
At the top end, it will take 24,500m^2 of panels. Hindenburg had a length of 245.3m and diameter of 41.2m. If it were a cylinder (because I don't feel like doing the math on its actual shape), it would have a surface area of 35,000m^2, but that includes the underside. It'll probably pick up some power being reflected off the clouds or the earth's surface, but you're probably only getting 60% of the full power averaged over the entire surface.
Which is closer than I thought it would be, but not quite enough to power the motors if they were 100% efficient, and dropping it to the real world 85-90% won't help. Neither will accounting for its actual shape.
Hindenburg had a cruising speed of 131km/h, so solar electric would just be pegged to a lower top speed assuming we didn't touch any other parts of the design.
I think efficiency gains in propeller tech, changes in crew and gear requirements, structural materials, and the rest of it would make it feasible.
Then we have to ask about alternatives. French TGV trains output about 10MW, and can carry over 600 passengers. Three of the solar arrays for these hypothetical green Hindenburgs would run one train, and you're not stuck with shitty thin film panels. The trains will move twice as many people.
If we're talking cargo trains, those max out around 3MW, so just one of these solar Hindenburgs. They will carry far, far more cargo.
Things like propeller efficiency also apply to airplanes.
So we're still stuck where things were going when Hindenburg burned away. Other things were surpassing it, they also improved in the time since, and there isn't much point beyond novelty.
Well yeah, for large volumes of cargo land or ocean traversal will always be cheaper or faster.
If the infrastructure exists, anyway.
A completely solar electric train would be awesome
I think they'd be solar powered with some kind of thin film photovoltaic. You don't need much battery in that case. While some carbon cost is inevitable, the point is they wouldn't ever compete with something that burns kerosene.
There are plenty of other options that don't burn kerosene.