Science Memes

11161 readers

2083 users here now

Welcome to c/science_memes @ Mander.xyz!

A place for majestic STEMLORD peacocking, as well as memes about the realities of working in a lab.

Rules

Don't throw mud. Behave like an intellectual and remember the human.
Keep it rooted (on topic).
No spam.
Infographics welcome, get schooled.

This is a science community. We use the Dawkins definition of meme.

Research Committee

[email protected]

Other Mander Communities

Science and Research

Biology and Life Sciences

Physical Sciences

Humanities and Social Sciences

Practical and Applied Sciences

Memes

Miscellaneous

founded 2 years ago

MODERATORS

[email protected]

649

Never Forget (mander.xyz)

submitted 6 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

169 comments fedilink hide all child comments

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Maybe. Maybe not. Pollsters typically adjust methodology between elections so this type of analysis is questionable.

He hasn’t led in the average but is currently within the margin of error. The available evidence suggests a toss up but we won’t know for sure until after the election, as always.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago (1 children)

I mean..

No. It's not margin of error right now. It's a clear Trump W. Not once you account for Trump's consistent over performance and Bidens consistent underperformance relative to polling aggregates. Everyone with eyes has been seeing it for better than a year.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Consistent in two elections? That’s not consistent. That’s not even data, let alone a trend.

As I said, pollsters adjust the demographic weighting based on election results. It is possible they will again underestimate Trump’s performance. It’s also possible they will overestimate it. Only time will tell.

But regardless of that issue, it is within the margin of error—that is a statistical reality irrelevant to your speculation about polling errors.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 6 months ago

None of what I'm saying is speculation, and you are a buffoon.