I feel like there was probably a better way of graphing this tbh
this post was submitted on 04 Nov 2024
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Stacked area has to be better than this right?
Almost lmao
Third party candidates
They're at the bottom, where they've always been.
I was just explaining why the D and R mirroring was "almost" rather than exact.
There should be a small, but not totally insignificant, probability of EC tie.
Which throws it to the house to decide.
We do not want this.
What kind of graph is this?
I think it’s just a plain Jane line chart right? The reason it looks like this is because the two lines are n and 100%–n.
You might be thinking of a population pyramid chart which looks somewhat similar to this if it were rotated 90°
Buttplug of best fit
Where is this chart from?
As someone else said, it’s a betting site, and the numbers it is showing are based on how much has been bet on any given candidate.
I think it’s fair to say that it’s not a reliable indicator of actual odds. It’s essentially a money weighted poll from a self selected population (people who would use an online betting site to bet on an election). So, it is not a good random sample of American voters, let alone a random sample of voters from swing states that actually decide the outcome.
It's a stupid betting site
But why Bernoulli?
Bernoulli was a mathematician: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernoulli_distribution
The Probability Distribution named after him models binary variables