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Google's Gemini may be 5 times more powerful than GPT4 by year end, and 20 times more powerful by the end of 2024. (www.semianalysis.com)

submitted 1 year ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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What does 20 times more powerful look like? At some point will LLM AI be constrained by datasets based on human knowledge? If it still has the hallucination problem, and no ability to reason, does it just mean its faster?

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Is there a paywall free version of the entire article somewhere?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

no ability to reason, does it just mean its faster?

Faster. only faster. LLMs as far as I understand have as much self-awareness and ability to reason as a Ti-83.

We are no closer to an AGI than we were when AI research started in the '50s.

From the link:

"The timeline for AGI development remains a subject of ongoing debate among researchers and experts. Some argue that it may be possible in years or decades, others maintain it might take a century or longer, and a minority believe it may never be achieved."

The central problem is this:

How can we create or program a machine to have self-awareness when will still do not understand how humans gain and develop?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

Just in time for the AI bubble to have popped.