Replace? Absolutely not. But it will definitely be a viable product alongside.
this post was submitted on 04 Jul 2023
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Mainstream? Not a chance. Many people know Twitter and Facebook, but they don't know what Lemmy or Reddit is, for example, and therefore don't use it.
And it usually doesn't matter if solution A is better than solution B. What becomes mainstream and what doesn't usually depends on other things.
Yes, will it? No.
No and I hope they don’t. At first that’s what I wanted for mastodon / Lemmy but as I’ve been here I’ve realized that having too many people invariably dilutes the quality of content since popularity means shouting over more voices and content which is generic or manipulative (rage bait) or appeals to the least common denominator bubbles up. There’s a critical mass needed for quality and content variety, but too much and it falls apart.
No and I hope they don’t. At first that’s what I wanted for mastodon / Lemmy but as I’ve been here I’ve realized that having too many people invariably dilutes the quality of content since popularity means shouting over more voices and content which is generic or manipulative (rage bait) or appeals to the least common denominator bubbles up. There’s a critical mass needed for quality and content variety, but too much and it falls apart.
I hope not tbh. But I’m selfish. Let the masses have their garbage if they choose.
It’s inevitable for the federation to dominate. I think it will take a few years though
I doubt it, it's not complicated to use, but also not an out of the box experience like other platforms
replace? no. and that is okay, to be honest and i think part of the appeal is because of the smallness and genuine interactions, deep discussions etc
Mainstream users value ease of use in a way only a centralised service can offer. Also any social service has the hurdle of being where everyone else is, so every other person in your circles must follow what the simplest and laziest one bothers to use. If you have to resort explaining anything how the platform technically works to use it or to find you, you have already lost.
But I think these platforms are crossing the critical mass (if not already happened) to be useful and fun for those who choose to overcome the tiny hurdles of using the platform. It may be even their strength that not everyone and their mother is active there.
There is a path but a lot of work needs to happen and a established community directory needs to be established so people can find what they are looking for.
It's like in voting. Everyone lets do their part. Inviting colleagues, friends. And that will make it become such.
Imo, Reddit has no moat. Twitter's only moat is community notes. In principle, community notes could be replicated and scaled to the size of the internet, adding comments to any arbitrary link and run like Wikipedia.
See "Threads" from meta it tries to go on the fediverse