this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2024
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Image is of Jakarta, the capital of Indonesia and the fastest sinking city in the world. A new capital is being built elsewhere in Indonesia.


I was going to make Indonesia the COTW anyway (unless something really massive happened somewhere else) due to the elections that might really designate the end of an era in Indonesian politics. Michael Roberts wrote up a big piece on Indonesia about a week ago, one day before the election began, so a lot of this information is coming from him.


Indonesia has been ruled by President Joko Widodo for 10 years, but is now barred from a third term constitutionally. Under his presidency, the Indonesian economy has seen fairly good GDP growth overall - about 5% per year, or an average of 4% per capita - and is broadly popular with the electorate. The biggest problems are the common ones, such as a lack of jobs and a high cost of living. Widodo's successors have naturally promised more jobs and an economic plan that clearly draws at least some inspiration from China's rise from the periphery to the heights of the world economy and manufacturing, but this seems pretty unlikely for Indonesia because, well, Indonesia is ruled by capitalist bourgeoisie parties and China is not. Indonesia's main gigs are palm oil, nickel ore, and oil, with internal manufacturing of these primary commodities only slowly growing and reliant on foreign labour.

Indonesia has a rather big employment problem. On the face of it, things don't seem bad, with an unemployment rate of only 5% - but this is only because it counts anybody who works even a couple hours per week. 60% of the workers in Indonesia are in the informal sector, with no real labour rights, sick pay, or guaranteed wages. And half of the ~8 million unemployed are young people. Indonesia is the sixth most unequal country on the planet, with at least 36% of the population in poverty, and the four richest men own as much as the bottom 100 million. This was a natural consequence of the policies of the dictator Suharto, who came to power in a coup overthrowing the communist nationalist leader Sukarno and killing one million communists, a period covered by Bevin's The Jakarta Method. At a fundamental level, not that much has changed since Suharto, and the country seems doomed to a path of slowing economic growth and massive amounts of environmental degradation under a plundering elite who will presumably fly off to New Zealand with the rest of them once the seas swallow the country, unless a communist movement can be rebuilt from ashes and can learn the lessons of 1965-66.

Though results have yet to be officially announced, it seems that 72-year-old Prabowo Subianto is overwhelmingly likely to have handily won the election. Once banned from the United States for human rights violations - a truly phenomenal feat - he has been the Minister of Defense since 2019, was an army lieutenant under Suharto and was his son-in-law. While this is obviously a particularly bad outcome, none of the other candidates seemed likely to fundamentally alter the trajectory of Indonesia, so the game was rigged from the start.


The Country of the Week is Indonesia! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 53 points 9 months ago (19 children)

Europeans really do make everything they touch into racism huh https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nazi-Maoism

[–] [email protected] 53 points 9 months ago

Maybe this is why Mao said it would be ok for Italy to be nuked.

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (2 children)

ukkkraine fascists are trying really hard to manufacture fake support and warbuck$ off the Nalvany bullshit. Smells desperate.

Many channels are turning their comments off too lol.

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (2 children)

Wow, I actually got some military history buff defending the atomic bombings of Japan to check out the Shaun video on it, or at least he said he will.

[–] [email protected] 48 points 9 months ago (2 children)

I feel like people like to defend the atomic bombings of Japan because it makes them seem like Very Grown Up and Adult Geopolitics Understanders Who Can Make Tough Decisions (and varying degrees of racism against Japanese people depending on their position on the liberal-conservative axis; ask if we should have nuked white Germans and I imagine at least a few of them would think differently) but in actuality, it really demonstrates a) their lack of historical understanding of the situation, and therefore b) the complete hollowness and evil of the Adult In The Room stance that they so love to pretend that they are

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 9 months ago (19 children)

okay so ukraine is FUCKED at this point

why the fuck do libs think russia will lose?

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 8 months ago

Article on the impact of Israel's genocide in Egypt's economy

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/2/24/how-israels-war-on-gaza-is-bleeding-egypts-economy

There's a bunch in there about impact on tourism, Suez canal passage, LNG processing, refugee numbers.

At the same time, there were discussions about augmenting Egypt’s $3bn loan with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to help it cope with the war in Gaza and the Red Sea security crisis. The main elements of the economic reform package include the Egyptian government selling stakes in dozens of state-owned enterprises, subsidy reductions, moving towards a flexible exchange rate, and making the military’s role in the national economy more transparent.

Charming - your neighbour is doing genocide and its harming your economy, how about a loan with austerity on the side?

[–] [email protected] 52 points 9 months ago

Israeli War-battered Economy Sees Double-digit Contraction, Sharpest Since Coronavirus Crisis: https://english.manartv.com.lb/2048829

The Zionist entity’s economy shrank at a 19.4 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2023.

It marks the deepest decline since the second quarter of 2020 when the economy dipped almost 30% as the coronavirus pandemic-related lockdowns hurt consumer spending and left many businesses closed, The Times of Israel reported.

The double-digit contraction that hit the economy during the war quarter compared with an expansion of 2.7% in the third quarter of 2023. Private consumption in the October to December period of 2023 plunged 26.9% and import of goods and services was down 42.4%.

Preliminary data from the Central Bureau of Statistics showed the Israeli economy expanded 2% in 2023 after growing at a fast pace of 6.5% in 2022. Private consumption decreased by 0.7% in 2023 after a 7.4% increase in 2022.

The import of goods and services fell in 2023 by 6.9%, after growing 12% in 2022. Exports of goods and services fell 1.1% in 2023 versus an increase of 8.6 in the year earlier.

[–] [email protected] 52 points 8 months ago (4 children)
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[–] [email protected] 51 points 8 months ago (7 children)

The IMF and Egypt are full partners in the US-israeli genocide of Palestinians.

https://thecradle.co/articles/imf-vows-to-support-egypt-as-nation-braces-for-mass-displacement-of-gazans

Cairo's fortunes with the IMF took a turn following the start of Israel's genocide campaign in the Gaza Strip.

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said in November that the agency was “seriously considering” a possible augmentation of Egypt’s loan program due to “economic difficulties posed by the Israel–Gaza war.”

"The loan could reach up to $10 billion to help the Egyptian economy survive amid local and external factors, including the Israeli onslaught on the neighboring Gaza Strip and tensions in the Red Sea negatively influencing the revenues generated by the Suez Canal," an official Egyptian source told The New Arab earlier this month.

Furthermore, this week, US multinational energy firm Chevron announced plans to expand production at Israel's Tamar field in a move that will increase gas exports to Egypt by an additional 4 billion cubic meters in the coming years.

This coincided with the start of construction work on an “isolated security zone” in the eastern Sinai Desert on the border with the Gaza Strip, which many expect will serve as a buffer zone for displaced Palestinians.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 9 months ago (7 children)

Blinken says he strongly disagrees with Lula on Israel, but that they are friends and united on freeing hostages and ceasefires. "We can have disagreements on one aspect of an issue and still continue the vital work we are doing together" said Antony Blinken.

"Obviously, we strongly disagree on the comparison between Gaza and the Holocaust. But that's something friends do. We can have disagreements on one aspect of an issue and still continue the vital work we're doing together," said the US Secretary of State.

"And we are united in having shared goals: getting hostages out, getting an extended humanitarian ceasefire along with more humanitarian assistance and ending the conflict."

Blinken also agreed to the creation of a future Palestinian state, shortly after his meeting with President Lula da Silva. Blinken met with other diplomats, including Sergey Lavrov. To see samba dances at a party for G20 diplomats organized by the mayor of Rio de Janeiro.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (9 children)

https://old.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1axbf2m/ua_pov_transnistria_will_apply_to_russia_on/

Ukrainian sources say Transnistria may request annexation by Russia on February 28th. Take with a huge grain of salt, since this is coming exclusively from Ukrainian sources, who have a history of making unfounded claims about Moldova and Transnistria.

I seriously doubt these claims, since such an annexation would pull a weak, isolated Transnistria into war with Ukraine. The only way it could reasonably be true is if Russia intends to suddenly capture Odessa, which also seems very unlikely at the moment.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 9 months ago (2 children)

‘China has a lot more to lose’: U.S. considering sanctioning Chinese firms aiding Russia’s war

Lots of projection in the article about "economic weakness" or "aiding another country's depravity"

Anyway they should do it. Help China like they helped Russia

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 9 months ago (8 children)

Bono predictably posting cringe at his concert in “the sphere” in Vegas

https://youtube.com/shorts/51u0XGmv-iY

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 8 months ago

Ha’aretz English reports Oct 7 partygoer was misidentified by security force, killed. As more and more deaths are seriously investigated, the truth is coming out. Note, this is a fairly mainstream lib/center Israeli news outlet.

[–] [email protected] 50 points 8 months ago (1 children)

I missed this sign of balkanization the other day

https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/19/us/utahs-sovereignty-act-overrule-federal/index.html

What do you want to bet that it'll be found that overruling chud laws will be constitutionally ok but that any legislation that actually helps people will go against the constitution

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (13 children)

come on you young Sailorman listen to me and i sing you a Song of the insurance rates of the sea

crab-party pseudorca around-the-cape

EDIT: footage apperently is not the actuall ship 2Rubymare" going down , but the actuall ship went down and it has hebrew watermark so ... Spirit Match.

EDIT2: The Band "British Sea Power" of Disco Elysium fame , is only called "Sea Power" Now!

EDIT3: probably also not it

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (3 children)

Two articles popped up on my work computer's mainpage (my gauge of normie news)

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/25/world/europe/ukraine-war-toll-zelensky.html - Ukraine has lost 31,000 soldiers over the two years of war.

https://www.businessinsider.com/russian-losses-avdiivka-exceed-10-year-soviet-afghan-war-isw-2024-2 - Russia has lost 47,000 soldiers in Avdeyevka alone.

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (1 children)

I’ve been getting texts from democrats, because Bernie or AOC probably gave away my phone number. I don’t know how to stop them completely so whatever.

But now I got a text from Nikki Haley? It says she’ll refuse to drop out after tomorrow’s primary in SC. She’s going to take an embarrassing L in her own state but still keep going for some reason.

lol I’m not even gonna reply with STOP, I’m happy to be subscribed to train wreck updates via text.

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 8 months ago (3 children)

Around half of Robotyne already recaptured by the Z-boys in just 3-4 days of organized attack on the Zaporozhye front. So funny that all the gains of the super duper mega Ukrainian counter-offensive are getting reversed so quickly

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Argentina: Poverty Rises 13 Points in Milei’s Two Months Ruling

The poverty level rose from 44.7% observed in the third quarter of 2023 to 49.5% in December and 57.4% in January.

According to the analysis of the Social Observatory of the Catholic University of Argentina, some 27 million people are poor in the country and places the causes of this growth in the devaluation and the inflationary surge that the government of Javier Milei took in just two months.

The depreciation of the currency and the unrestrained escalation of the prices of products of the basic basket influenced the abrupt fall of the purchasing power of the middle sectors, which quickly became larger the poverty figures in Argentina.

The Social Observatory of the university conducting the study projects that the indigent population increased from 9.6 per cent in the third quarter of 2023 to 14.2 per cent in December 2023 and to 15 per cent in January 2024.

Actual record of 57.4% is the highest level of the series started in 2004, when it was 54%, and it is projected that there would be almost 27 million poor people throughout the country, of which 7 million would be destitute.

In January, in the Metropolitan Region of Buenios Aires the poverty basket for an adult was $ 193 146 Argentine pesos (ARS) and for a family type of $ 596 823 (ARS), without considering the price of rents.

The UCA Report explains that "to weigh the worsening of the social situation, two simulation exercises were carried out according to the adjustments applied to the microdata of the EDSA (Social Debt Survey Argentina) of the third quarter of 2023".

"The first recalculates the level of indigence and poverty in the situation of increasing baskets and updating of labor and non-labor income in December 2023. The second of the exercises reproduces the situation of basket costs and the labor and non-labor income of households in January 2024," the authors conclude.

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 9 months ago
[–] [email protected] 50 points 8 months ago

time to spend another million dollars to shoot down a high school science club project I guess

[–] [email protected] 50 points 8 months ago

IMPERATOR CAESAR DIVI FILIVS AVGVSTVS should have never stopped at Teutoburg Forest:

https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/local-berlin-schools-distribute-leaflets-denying-1948-nakba

The Social Democratic Party (SPD), Germany's leading political party, led by Chancellor Olaf Scholz, and the opposition Christian Democratic Party (CDU) have mandated high schools in Berlin's Neukolln borough to disseminate brochures titled "The Myth of Israel 1948."

[–] [email protected] 50 points 9 months ago

Israeli Policies on Palestine Mean Apartheid: South Africa

The unwillingness to hold Israel accountable for its practices encourages Israel to commit genocide, Ambassador Madonsela denounced.

On Tuesday, South Africa asked the International Court of Justice (ICJ) to examine "the institutionalized regime of discriminatory laws, policies, and practices applied by Israel" in the occupied territories of Palestine, and urged it to declare that the Israeli state subjects Palestinians to "an apartheid regime."

South Africa's ambassador to The Hague, Vusimuzi Madonsela, requested the judges to "examine the institutionalized regime of discriminatory laws, policies, and practices applied by Israel according to the definition of the crime of apartheid" and define as such the regime to which the Israeli government subjects Palestinians.

"Israel discriminates and fragments all Palestinian peoples to ensure the maintenance of Israeli Jewish domination," warned Madonsela, who cautioned that "Israeli apartheid must end" and "the Palestinian people must be allowed to exercise their inalienable right to self-determination."

He also emphasized that Palestinians in the West Bank "remain contained by a segregated wall" and are victims of discriminatory policies that include "Israeli violent incursions into Palestinian villages, towns, cities, and refugee camps," "illegal arbitrary arrests" of children and adults, which are "indefinitely renewable without trial, euphemistically known as administrative detentions."

"Separately, Palestinians in Gaza have lived in a sealed, fragmented, and segregated enclave from the West Bank, and subjected by Israel to repression, sustained closure, and siege," Madonsela lamented.

"On each of the last 136 days, the world is witnessing an unprecedented assault in Gaza, in speed and severity, violating the most basic precepts of the right to life and survival of a population," he added.

"The international community's unwillingness to hold Israel accountable for its policies and practices, and its failure to ensure the immediate, unconditional, and total withdrawal of Israeli troops, and an immediate end to Israeli occupation and apartheid in Palestine, including Gaza, the West Bank, and East Jerusalem, encourages Israel to reach a new critical point, to commit genocide, the crime of crimes," Madonsela denounced.

This week, at the request of the United Nations General Assembly, the ICJ is examining "the legal consequences arising from Israel's policies and practices in the occupied Palestinian territories, including East Jerusalem."

The Court will issue a non-binding legal opinion, in response to a request prior to the Israeli war in Gaza, which has already killed about 28,000 civilians and has left the Strip devastated, with 1.9 million displaced in a territory inhabited by 2.3 million people.

In a separate case on the situation in Gaza, initiated precisely by South Africa at the end of December, the ICJ issued interim measures demanding "immediate and effective" steps from Israel to prevent the commission of genocide in the Strip.

"The Palestinian cause resonates strongly with the people of South Africa. The Palestinian struggle invokes painful memories of our own fight against apartheid, segregation, and oppression," South Africa's ambassador recalled today.

[–] [email protected] 49 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (1 children)

CNN reporting the reformation of Red Guard units in China as "Corporate Militias" is the funniest shit I've seen reported while simultaneously spiking my blood pressure.

Edit: and I mean Red Guards in the Soviet tradition and not the Chinese tradition.

Edit2: Link here if you're really that curious. It's not worth reading though.

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[–] [email protected] 49 points 9 months ago (11 children)

Am I an idiot for feeling like some big arrow action might start soon? Ukraine’s entire position east of the Dniepr looks like it’s collapsing.

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[–] [email protected] 49 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Is this a decade-week or a week-decade?
Looks at news mega aw man looks like another decade-week sicko-wistful

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[–] [email protected] 49 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (5 children)

There was a Palestine rally in Tallinn last Saturday and I only now at this very second hear about it. No one says a single iota of anything going on. Literally not one single word. Then anywhere from 2 hours to a week, "massive rally in support". How the hell do people hear and organize these things? When there isn't a single post online or a single soul mentioning a breath of any organized movement at all, just how.

Oh and forced isolation (as in, literally not allowed to go to Jummah anymore) certainly when I'm only allowed to see the few same people at work and that's literally it, doesn't help matters either.

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[–] [email protected] 48 points 9 months ago (3 children)
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[–] [email protected] 48 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Why the fuck is the US talking about an hostage deal at the UN. Didn't Israel and hamas walked out on the talks?

[–] [email protected] 51 points 9 months ago (1 children)

to veto the ceasefire resolution afterwards.

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[–] [email protected] 48 points 9 months ago

Victory is now in the hands of the RUAF

spoilerthe village of Victory southwest of Donetsk City

[–] [email protected] 48 points 9 months ago (3 children)

Latin America, Heir to Arab Heritage

The cultural heritage bequeathed to us by the Arabs remains in our language, in our cuisine, in our way of life. Both Latin America and the world are heirs to their wisdom.

The Arab presence in Latin America dates back to the arrival of the Spanish around 1492, initiating a long process of constant cultural exchange between the New World and the Middle East.

The encounter between the two cultures - as historians have called it - was in fact a multicultural encounter. The colonizers' ships were manned by hundreds of men from dissimilar cultures from the old continent, including the Arab culture.

Let us remember that the Arabs occupied the Iberian Peninsula, which they called Al-Andaluz. In this region, the Emirate of Granada, the last Arab stronghold in the peninsula, was the most important. Finally, with the advance of the Reconquest, initiated by the Christians in the northern mountains of the peninsula, the Emirate of Granada fell and the Arabs were expelled.

But it was impossible to expel more than eight hundred years of traditions, customs and cultural heritage. The descendants of the Arabs who remained in this region had to adapt to the new reality, change their surnames, adapt their religious customs, etc. However, this cultural heritage could never be erased, as it endured for centuries.

The first Arab descendants arrived in America on those three famous ships used by Christopher Columbus on his first voyage to the New World in 1492: La Niña, La Pinta and Santa María were the names of the ships. They were looking for a route that would take them to the Indies, since the Arabs blocked the passage through the European continent. Of these ships, two returned to Europe. The Santa Maria ran aground near the coasts of the Dominican Republic.

Without being aware of it, many Latin Americans carry surnames of Muslim heritage. In today's Spanish there are thousands of words that come directly from Arabic. Pronounced every day: azúcar, albañil, alforjas, azucenas, alelí, the Spanish denomination of ojala, is a derivation of the Islamic cult of Ala. Similarly, in architecture there are forms that come from the millenary Moorish tradition.

Latin America had different waves of Arab migration from the Middle East, being from the late 19th century, when a large community of Arab origin disembarked. The first was between 1870 and 1900, the second between 1900 and 1914 and, finally, the third wave occurred as a consequence of the occupation of Palestine in 1948 and from 1974 with the civil war in Lebanon.

Among the countries that stand out the most are Lebanon, Syria and Palestine. They settled in many countries in the Latin American region, mainly in Venezuela, Chile and Argentina. It is estimated that more than 20 million found a new way of life. Today they are grouped into communities, associations and, despite living in a totally different environment, they maintain their main traditions.

Undoubtedly, it is a mistake to think that we are far removed from the Arabs. The cultural heritage they have bequeathed to us remains in our language, in our cuisine, in our way of life. This debunks the myth that Arabs are barbarians and have always been an inferior culture or that they are extremists for practicing Islam. None of this is true. Both Latin America and the world are heirs to their wisdom.

Not really news report, but is interesting to see the connection between Latin America and the Middle East

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