this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2024
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Image is of Jakarta, the capital of Indonesia and the fastest sinking city in the world. A new capital is being built elsewhere in Indonesia.


I was going to make Indonesia the COTW anyway (unless something really massive happened somewhere else) due to the elections that might really designate the end of an era in Indonesian politics. Michael Roberts wrote up a big piece on Indonesia about a week ago, one day before the election began, so a lot of this information is coming from him.


Indonesia has been ruled by President Joko Widodo for 10 years, but is now barred from a third term constitutionally. Under his presidency, the Indonesian economy has seen fairly good GDP growth overall - about 5% per year, or an average of 4% per capita - and is broadly popular with the electorate. The biggest problems are the common ones, such as a lack of jobs and a high cost of living. Widodo's successors have naturally promised more jobs and an economic plan that clearly draws at least some inspiration from China's rise from the periphery to the heights of the world economy and manufacturing, but this seems pretty unlikely for Indonesia because, well, Indonesia is ruled by capitalist bourgeoisie parties and China is not. Indonesia's main gigs are palm oil, nickel ore, and oil, with internal manufacturing of these primary commodities only slowly growing and reliant on foreign labour.

Indonesia has a rather big employment problem. On the face of it, things don't seem bad, with an unemployment rate of only 5% - but this is only because it counts anybody who works even a couple hours per week. 60% of the workers in Indonesia are in the informal sector, with no real labour rights, sick pay, or guaranteed wages. And half of the ~8 million unemployed are young people. Indonesia is the sixth most unequal country on the planet, with at least 36% of the population in poverty, and the four richest men own as much as the bottom 100 million. This was a natural consequence of the policies of the dictator Suharto, who came to power in a coup overthrowing the communist nationalist leader Sukarno and killing one million communists, a period covered by Bevin's The Jakarta Method. At a fundamental level, not that much has changed since Suharto, and the country seems doomed to a path of slowing economic growth and massive amounts of environmental degradation under a plundering elite who will presumably fly off to New Zealand with the rest of them once the seas swallow the country, unless a communist movement can be rebuilt from ashes and can learn the lessons of 1965-66.

Though results have yet to be officially announced, it seems that 72-year-old Prabowo Subianto is overwhelmingly likely to have handily won the election. Once banned from the United States for human rights violations - a truly phenomenal feat - he has been the Minister of Defense since 2019, was an army lieutenant under Suharto and was his son-in-law. While this is obviously a particularly bad outcome, none of the other candidates seemed likely to fundamentally alter the trajectory of Indonesia, so the game was rigged from the start.


The Country of the Week is Indonesia! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 63 points 9 months ago (3 children)

vice.com shuttering is heart breaking for anyone living in 2013

Under fire with Azov Battalion - Russian Roulette Dispatch 76 the Vice journalist gives no pushback when the Azov fighter explains away his Black Sun and claims he's not a nazi. The journalist gives no commentary to other obvious Nazi symbols

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[–] [email protected] 62 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (3 children)

Hearing the fucking spin on the US' counter proposal of a fucking temporary ceasefire is just so hilarious. "The US is afraid that the original proposal would interfere with its effort to negotiate its own peace deal" or "The temporary ceasefire will help us negotiate a more permanent peace." Absolute comedy considering all the support the US is providing to Israel's ongoing genocide campaigndata-laughing

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[–] [email protected] 61 points 8 months ago

I have a theory that the reason a lot of IOF members post themselves with unfunny tiktoks and images is that they're trying to reach the level of funny Hamas did by breaking into the most advanced securities on the planet using paragliders and motorcycles then kidnapping a commander in his underwear.

[–] [email protected] 61 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Democrats have convinced themselves that republicans don't want to fund ukraine anymore because they're all compromised by putler, while ignoring the fact that this war is rapidly losing support everywhere. Or maybe we're supposed to believe every single western politican that's against this sunk cost fallacy has been compromised?

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[–] [email protected] 61 points 9 months ago (6 children)

President Lula da Silva on Twitter:

"Just as I said when I was in prison that I wouldn't accept a deal to get out of jail and that I wouldn't trade my freedom for my dignity, I say: I won't trade my dignity for falsehood."

"I am in favor of the creation of a free and sovereign Palestinian state. May this Palestinian state live in harmony with the State of Israel. What the government of the State of Israel is doing is not war, it is genocide. Children and women are being murdered. Don't try to interpret the interview I gave. Read the interview and stop judging me based on what the Prime Minister of Israel said."

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[–] [email protected] 60 points 9 months ago (10 children)

From a Norwegian tabloid, "Russian shrimp salad changes name [to 'rustic' salad]" (22 Feb 2024)

it's so joever for putin

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[–] [email protected] 59 points 8 months ago (13 children)
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[–] [email protected] 59 points 9 months ago

It’s always weird visiting Upstate New York and having a good relationship with the police there because we all went to the same school for troubled kids. A lot of them saw it as a good alternative to what they were doing in their personal lives and liked that it didn’t take them out of the country like the military did. At the same time it’s unsettling knowing what I know about the police force they work for.

[–] [email protected] 59 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (8 children)

Lula won't apologize for criticizing genocide in Gaza, says Amorim. :chad:

On Sunday (18), the president compared Israel's action in the Gaza Strip against Hamas to the mass murder of Jews by Adolf Hitler

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Workers' Party) will not apologize for criticizing the genocide in Gaza, the president's special advisor for international affairs, Celso Amorim, told CNN.

"We've always treated it in a very respectful way and defended the two-state solution, but there's nothing to apologize for. Israel is putting itself in a condition of increasing isolation," said Amorim.

"What is happening in the Gaza Strip and with the Palestinian people is like nothing else in history. In fact, it existed when Hitler decided to kill the Jews," said Lula.

Today, Israel's foreign minister told the Brazilian ambassador that Lula would be declared a person non grata in the country until he apologized.

Lol, good on Lula. Isn'treal supported Bolsonaro until quite recently, THEY invited HIM, A LITERAL NOBODY with no political rights and a CRIMINAL, but not the fucking PRESIDENT of Brazil. Really hope Lula breaks of relation with israel.

Of course the Liberal Party (Bolsonaro's Party that is currently being investigated by the police) asked for an impeachment but they lack all 150 seats to do that, and so they decided ask the Supreme Court Judges for help, the same Judges that Bolsonaro attempt to kill and are close with Lula.

Celso Amorim, who I believe was the advisor of every goverment in Brazil besides the Bolsonaro one, basically said that no one cares about what Israel thinks or says, and that Lula and Brazil will continue their trade and diplomacy normally with all other countries.

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[–] [email protected] 59 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (1 children)

The Br*tish are having a fucking day, it seems.

The SNP used their Opposition Day to submit a motion calling for an immediate ceasefire and opposing the collective punishment of Gaza.

This reflected their longstanding position, unlike Labour, whose leader backed war crimes and which has repeatedly either justified or failed to oppose Israel's mass slaughter.

Labour then gutted the motion, blackmailed the Speaker into breaking Parliamentary protocol and prevented the SNP's motion from being heard at all.

In sum, the Labour leadership deserve nothing but total contempt.

https://twitter.com/OwenJones84/status/1760371182350520572

https://nitter.cz/OwenJones84/status/1760371182350520572

So Starmer apparently threatened the Speaker into breaking long established procedure and then completely gutted the SNPs ceasefire motion (which includes accusing Israel of war crimes) to make some meaningless "temporary ceasefire but Israel has a right to defend itself and also Hamas is bad" motion instead. The Speaker is claiming he wasn't blackmailed but rather said that he's trying to protect MPs whose family are "being threatened" (from who or what I am unsure). The Tories and SNP have now tabled a motion to remove the Speaker and Tel Aviv Keith and Co are doing everything possible to claim they didn't actually just threaten a government official.

It is important to remember that this motion from the SNP has no actual force behind it. Motions brought by the opposition on opposition day don't have the legal force of government behind them, even if passed. It was rumored that 80 members of Labour were going to "rebel" and vote for the SBP motion, including some members of the shadow cabinet, against Keith's orders. So Tel Aviv Keith did all of this to get out of Labour having to take a stand on a meaningless gesture that would have showcased the actual divisions in Labour.

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[–] [email protected] 58 points 8 months ago

i saw two hot air balloons outside of dallas today. there must be a chinese spy base in plano.

[–] [email protected] 58 points 8 months ago (2 children)

Came across a “war analysis” substack while trying to find on the ground information about recent developments. It’s run by the chubby American dude with glasses you often see on YouTube analyzing different Ukraine-Russia shit

Anyway, one of the recent articles is a “correction” about the identification of a gun from a war video. The thing that disturbed me is that the video is a field execution of some Kurdish woman, likely a civilian. I don’t know the context. I didn’t watch it, but something about feeling the need to correct yourself for identifying the wrong gun model in a video of a war crime as if it matters in any capacity is just… something. Inhumane.

I think I’ve done enough reading about war for today.

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[–] [email protected] 58 points 9 months ago (5 children)
[–] [email protected] 56 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (2 children)

A Pole flying a hammer and sickle? Must be a cold day in hell.

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[–] [email protected] 58 points 9 months ago (25 children)

Alright question time.

My adventures on bluesky have led me to realise that an absolutely massive number of people, including soft-left who would otherwise usually be susceptible to what MLs have to say, are blocking me on sight for being a visible "tankie" now (openly ML and positive of lenin/soviet union being the main indicators).

So the question is under the climate that is being produced do MLs get more done by hiding their MLness so as not to trigger this insta-block behaviour? I could quite easily switch over to DemSoc mode and mostly saying pretty much anything and everything I already say when visibly ML.

I'm still leaning towards visibility, I think that hidden-ness of communists hasn't helped in the past and that something similar to the "pride" approach that helped lgbt people get normalisation has value. The anti-tankie atmosphere being generated is essentially a de-normalisation of communist openness in society and the counter to that seems to me to push normalisation even harder so that the approach fails. I am however interested in others' thoughts.

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[–] [email protected] 57 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (2 children)

Over the past few months the Russian Federation has significantly stepped up its military and logistics support for the Syrian Arab Republic. Besides carrying out massive joint air operations (specifically Badia and Idlib) against Jabat al-Nusra and HTS and ISIS (all NATO-backed terrorists).

Recently we have seen images of Russian soldiers who were previously deployed in the SMO are training soldiers from the Syrian Arab Army on everything from anti-drone weaponry to artillery and air-defense

The best part is that the Russian military has begun setting up outposts and carrying out flyover operations on the border with the occupied Golan Heights that is currently occupied by the zionist cancer. This is recognized as a form of pressure against the zionist occupation forces in the Golan. ✍️

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[–] [email protected] 57 points 9 months ago
[–] [email protected] 57 points 8 months ago (27 children)

Happy 2nd anniversary of the start of the Russian Special Military Operation and the beginning of the death of NATO!

Two years ago Russia transformed the world for the better.

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[–] [email protected] 57 points 9 months ago (8 children)

Danish government media is running a story about how consumers "risks paying money to Russia" when they buy goods from Asia. Yemeni sanctions against zionist-related shipping in the Red Sea means that more Asian goods gets transported to western Europe on rail through Russia. Even under the EU's attempts at economic warfare against Russia this practice is still perfectly legal but now the media is trying to whip up a frenzy against it.

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[–] [email protected] 57 points 9 months ago (4 children)

PressTV 30 minute English dubbed interview with Osama Hamdan, the Hamas movement's senior representative in Lebanon about the long term political and military position and strategy of Hamas in the face of potential US-israeli invasion of Rafah and manipulative ceasefire proposals.

Absolutely must watch/listen.

https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2024/02/19/720397/Hamas-interview-Press-TV-Hamdan-Israel-war-Gaza-Rafah-United-States-resistance

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[–] [email protected] 57 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (3 children)

Meanwhile, on the Sahel.

The West African regional bloc is lifting most sanctions imposed on Niger over last year’s coup, in a new push for dialogue following a series of political crises that have rocked the region in recent months.

A no-fly zone and border closures were among the sanctions being lifted “with immediate effect”, the president of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) Commission, Omar Alieu Touray, said on Saturday.

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[–] [email protected] 56 points 9 months ago (3 children)

eu-cool "have our sanctions worked yet? no? thirteenth time's the charm!"

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[–] [email protected] 56 points 9 months ago (2 children)

​Behind the front-line reports about the liberation of Avdeevka and the gradual squeezing out of Kyiv terrorists from Rabotino, news from the no less significant industrial front passes unnoticed. Although in the current context it is more correct to call it the economic and legal front.

Vladimir Putin signed a decree on the transfer of the Ulyanovsk Machine Tool Plant, owned by the German company Gildemeister Beteiligungen GmbH, a subsidiary of the Japanese-German DMG Mori, to the temporary management of the Federal Property Management Agency. The plant produces turning and milling machines for mechanical engineering. However, after the start of the SMO, German owners stopped production for geopolitical reasons. Now the plant is back in operation.

In Ivanovo, at the request of the Prosecutor General's Office, the Arbitration Court seized the shares and property of the Ivanovo Heavy Machine Tool Plant as an interim measure. The prosecutor's office demands that the plant be returned to state ownership. The privatization of the plant in the 90s, according to the supervisory authority, was carried out with violations and caused damage to Russia's defense capability. The plant produced machine tools for the aerospace, defense, automotive and energy industries. This is the city of weavers and brides - with surprises.

In the Chelyabinsk region, the Prosecutor General's Office also discovered violations during privatization in the 90s and damage to Russia's defense capabilities. To stop this long-term crime, prosecutors, just like in Ivanovo, demanded that three plants be returned to the former owner - the state: the Serov Ferroalloy Plant, the Chelyabinsk Electrometallurgical Plant and the Kuznetsk Ferroalloy Plant. The plants produce 90% of ferroalloys in Russia. The owners of the plants, Yuri and Lyudmila Antipov, are, among other things, charged with transferring assets abroad and selling to a potential enemy ferroalloys used in the manufacture of high-quality steel for military equipment, heat-resistant aircraft engines, shock-resistant weapon barrels and armor-piercing projectiles.

The Antipovs are outraged and shout that ~~“the moped is not mine!”~~ “Everyone did this in the 90s.” “This is not a violation, it was a common practice in the regions.” But prosecutors remember very well the words of our President, spoken when he was serving his first term: “I am for the dictatorship of the law.” And the law states that for the privatization of both the machine tool plant in Ivanov and the Ural ferroalloys, permission from the Russian government was required. There was no such permission. The privatizers instead organized for themselves the decisions of local regional regional governments. As the Antipov family tells us, there are quite a few such factories scattered across Russia.

putin-wink

By the way, the Ulyanovsk Machine Tool Plant was also privatized in 1992. I have an assumption that in this case there was no order from the Russian government. Just like in the case of the Ulyanovsk plant of heavy and unique machine tools, which is now partially owned by the Czech Skoda (read German FW).

Prosecutors have a lot of work to do. After all, as you know. Russians always come back for theirs.

Better late than never.

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[–] [email protected] 56 points 9 months ago (1 children)

jacobin printed a silly article lenin-sure

The state of the analysis of russian politics, where the guy with the platform "privatize everything" gets shiny thinkpieces as based friend of the left.

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[–] [email protected] 55 points 9 months ago (5 children)

I've just seen an unsourced statistic online that a third of the people arrested for antisemitism in Germany as of late are Jewish. Obviously, I can't find anything on this in the media or on Google, though I regularly hear of individual cases. Does anyone have a real source on this or is it just a rumor?

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[–] [email protected] 55 points 9 months ago (3 children)

Israel escalates bombardment against Lebanon in the Ghaziyeh region close to the heart of the country. Video footage captured massive explosions which were verified by Israeli military radio.

Israel's northern war front has increasingly escalated with the withdrawal of some troops from Gaza, and the massive military deployment to the border region in preparation for a looming Israeli ground invasion against Lebanon's Islamic resistance group.

Local media report Lebanon's resistance groups have already responded with counterattacks on the occupied Al-Samaqa region. Since October 7, fighting in the border region has intensified in response to Israel's war of annihilation against Gaza.

Recent polls by the Israeli newspaper Maariv show that 71% of all Israelis are in favor of an all-out war against Lebanon.

From theredstream on Telegram. Israel was not prepared to fight Hezbollah all-out before Oct 7th. If they think they can take on Hezbollah after the Resistance has dealt them so much damage, that is insane. It would be a fitting end to the Zionist entity if it’s the hubris of their fascistic genocidal population that ultimately does them in.

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[–] [email protected] 55 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (13 children)

I think a good way of re-framing the global multipolar conflict happening for scared left-liberals is to show that the multipolar bloc is not a red-brown alliance, it is in fact a red-blue alliance (the national bourgeois of Russia and China and Iran with the proletarian CPC, DPRK, Cuba, pink tide leftish Latin American nations, African de-colonial forces, the axis of Resistance). Putin is not a fascist, he's a Liberal like Merkel or AMLO. Iran, Syria and Hamas are not fascist, they are secular and progressive relative to the area they're in and the western-backed fascist opponents they face in their homelands - they fight to liberate oppressed people internationally despite having domestic issues they need to address.

The west is a blue-brown alliance, NATO is a blue-brown alliance, the anti-communist cold war system is a blue-brown alliance. They cheer for Nazis in Canadian parliaments, they send weapons and money to Azov, they back fascism worldwide, they promote ISIS and jihadist scum & now they are exterminating the Palestinian people. What squishy libs should hate most is their own governments if they truly hate fascism.

Red-brown fears is overblown crap from scared Liberals who called me Assadist for years while quoting bellingcat and Jacobin at me. There is no global red-brown alliance of note, nothing significant. The Trumpists weird fixation of going slightly against the imperialist grain will be corrected soon, they will never go anti-America and pro-global South so their current quirky position is not of consequence. If they are so corrupt Putin and Xi bought them out then cool, I think that's rad. Better than whatever the GOP were doing before, maybe they'll be the American comprador class and fifth column to sell us out if we're lucky, but more likely they'll just stay being neocon chauvinists like always.

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[–] [email protected] 54 points 9 months ago (7 children)

A popular center left leader got term limited and his successor is a fascist?!

shocked-pikachu

Looks like term limits are working as intended.

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[–] [email protected] 54 points 8 months ago

Neocolonial French puppet forced by the Senegalese people to not seek another term: https://www.plenglish.com/news/2024/02/23/senegal-president-gives-in-to-pressure-and-ends-his-term-in-office/

[–] [email protected] 54 points 9 months ago (3 children)

The president of Mexico, Andrés Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO), confirmed at a press conference that he had released the phone data of New York Times journalist Natalie Kitroeff on purpose, out of "political authority"

A few weeks ago, the New York Times published allegations of possible links between AMLO's 2006 presidential campaign and drug trafficking, specifically with the Sinaloa cartel. AMLO rejected the accusations and said it was irresponsible of the newspaper to publish them.

After a few days, he published Natalie Kitroeff's private number on his social networks. Today, when questioned, he said that moral authority is above all else, and asked who would repair the damage that had been done to his image.

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[–] [email protected] 54 points 9 months ago (7 children)

Taking bets one what this video is about

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[–] [email protected] 54 points 8 months ago (8 children)
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[–] [email protected] 53 points 8 months ago (3 children)
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[–] [email protected] 53 points 9 months ago (17 children)

Europeans really do make everything they touch into racism huh https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nazi-Maoism

[–] [email protected] 56 points 9 months ago (2 children)

The pro-Maoist position among Finnish far-right was at least partially motivated by anti-Soviet position of Mao's China. "We visited the Helsinki embassy of China, and they showed anti-Russkie propaganda movies with massive cheering Chinese armies demanding attack to the USSR. We cheered also, this is the salvation of Finland. I still think that." said Haikala.

All the fascism of fascism combined with the not liking Russia of Maoism. How unique. Completely different from regular Finnish fascism.

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[–] [email protected] 53 points 9 months ago

Maybe this is why Mao said it would be ok for Italy to be nuked.

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