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this post was submitted on 25 Feb 2024
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Technology
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This overglorified snake oil salesman is scared.
Anyone who understands how these models works can see plain as day we have reached peak LLM. Its enshitifying on itself and we are seeing its decline in real time with quality of generated content. Dont believe me? Go follow some senior engineers.
Any recommendations whom to follow? On Mastodon?
There is a reason they didn't offer specific examples. LLM can still scale by size, logical optimization, training optimization, and more importantly integration. The current implementation is reaching it's limits but pace of growth is also happening very quickly. AI reduces workload, but it is likely going to require designers and validators for a long time.
For sure evidence is mounting that model size benefit is not returning the quality expected. Its also had the larger net impact of enshitifying itself with negative feedback loops between training data, humans and back to training. This one being quantified as a large declining trend in quality. It can only get worse as privacy, IP laws and other regulations start coming into place. The growth this hype master is selling is pure fiction.
But he has a lot of product to sell.
And companies will gobble it all up.
On an unrelated note, I will never own a new graphics card.
Secondhand is better value, still new cost right now is nothing short of price fixing. You only need look at the size reduction in memory since A100 was released to know what’s happening to gpu’s.
We need serious competition, hopefully intel is able to but foreign competition would be best.
I doubt that any serious competitor will bring any change to this space. Why would it - everyone will scream 'shut up and take my money'.
I think you answered your own question: money