this post was submitted on 15 Oct 2024
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If your job can be replaced with GPT, you had a bullshit job to begin with.
What so many people don't understand is that writing code is only a small part of the job. Figuring out what code to write is where most of the effort goes. That, and massaging the egos of management/the C-suite if you're a senior.
Automation is always incremental.
I'm an accountant. Components of the job have been being automated or systemised for many decades. Most of the tasks that occupied a graduate when I was one 20 years ago don't exist anymore.
Not because AI is doing those tasks but just because everything became more integrated, we configure and manage the flow of data rather than making the data, you might say.
If you had to hire 100 professional programmers in the past, but then AI makes programmers 10% more efficient than previously, then you can do the same work with 91 programmers.
That doesn't mean that 9 people were doing something that an LLM can do, it just means that more work is being completed with fewer programmers.
But that is always happening. Software that now can be built by two programers needed IBM few decades ago, just because of hardware, languages, available libraries and shared knowledge.
But we still have so many "app ideas" that there is more work to be done. I would be happy to have AI write all those apps that I need and have no time or money to make them.
My conclusion is that it is only about money and economy. We are in unofficial recession so everyone is cutting costs, as soon as money comes back we will go back into bulking/exploration phase.