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The other danger to avoid (again) is the assumption that because polls and news looks good for a candidate, a single vote won't matter, which results in a lapse of not voting. Repeat a few million times. Lead suddenly gone.
Vote, even if everyone is claiming it's a solid win. Vote as if your vote does matter, don't even debate if that's true or not.
Well said. Even if you are in a solid-whatever state, the degree to which that is true is important. A 5 point lead is different from a 10 point lead, is different from a 20 point lead. The closer you can make it, the more you force people to pay attention to you.
At the same time, if you know your candidate is going to win and you live in a shitty two-party system, then the only means you have to protest about the policies of the party you primarily support is to give them a no vote when they're guaranteed to win.
Example, everyone knew the Labor party was going to win in the UK election, it was guaranteed after the 14 years of incompetence from the Tories. That being said, Labor really wasn't promising much. The only party that were offering any real change were the Greens.
So what do you, knowing that Labor are going to win but not agreeing with their policies? You let them know by voting for other parties, and then Labor reassesses their policies on the votes they lost.
And then a bunch of people do that because "my guy is going to win anyway so it doesn't matter" and you end up losing. Remember Brexit? never be too confident.