this post was submitted on 07 Jul 2024
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[–] [email protected] 17 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (30 children)

If I have to see this false prophet Lichtman's bowl cut one more time, I swear to god... Here are just a few facts about this asshole:

  • It's really not some miracle that he got these elections right, considering he waits until last-minute to predict them.
  • He gave a full-throated endorsement of Hillary Clinton... only to predict she'd lose later on in the race.
  • He hasn't given his fucking prediction for THIS cycle yet.
  • Even based on his own "keys," he is not remaining impartial because he has no idea whether an alternative candidate would get all the keys just the same.
  • He inflates incumbency despite Biden's 37% approval-rating and losing pre and post-first debate in polls... Which if you look at historical trends, that NEVER bodes well for the incumbent.

By the way I emailed this shithead challenging his methodology (and I remained much more neutral than this) to no response. In fact I wouldn't be the least-bit surprised if the only reason he wants Biden to remain the nominee is to ensure he maintains record for election predictions by later predicting his easy defeat.

Nate Silver has a far more predictive, mathematical model than this dumb fuck. He can Lichtma balls. (ok that last one I just had to out of adolescent gallows humor, but he threw the first punch with name-calling those wanting Biden to step down).

[–] [email protected] 7 points 4 months ago (5 children)

We are long past the point where it would have been feasible for Biden to withdraw. We were past that point well before the first debate. It is too late to get somebody else on the ballot in many states, including states that then Dems potentially need, like Nevada.

Anybody still repeating the line that Biden needs to withdraw is either:

  1. Ignorant of how election law works

  2. A bad actor, pushing right wing/Russian talking points.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 months ago

Agreed. It's too late to promote some lesser known candidate enough to compete with the frothing rotten cult of personality stench that surrounds the orange rapist.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago (1 children)

TIL Jon Stewart is either ignorant or a bad actor. Does no one know how to read a poll?

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Polls are massively inaccurate. Not just because of some sigma six level quantitative analysis, but because of the methodology.

People 45 and under don’t answer the phone. When my phone rings I immediately block the person forever unless it’s a contact as do most people that are millennials and younger. So pollsters rely on who answers the phone, which is usually angry grandpa.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

You know that makes it more dire, right ? Right? If the Democratic base is older, and his approval is that low, what does that mean for millennials and younger?

If Bidens depending on Millennials and Gen Z to drag him across the finish line, and you think he can win, then I have a skibidi toilet in Ohio to sell ya.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Guess we better vote for the fascists then! That will be much better.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 4 months ago (1 children)

It’s not a binary choice. The people concerned about Biden aren’t going to vote for Trump. Emma and Sam explain it quite well.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago (1 children)

No, it pretty much is binary at this point. It’s naive for you to think otherwise. Stop helping to elect fascists.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)
[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

lol says who? I can name Senators, US House representatives, senior strategists for Obama, even a former DNC Chair who fucking say otherwise. Don't bullshit me.

You're not just wrong, you may very well be outright lying. Now show me your evidence or walk away.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago (1 children)

You can argue that it's not a good idea for Biden to withdraw. That doesnt make people who think the opposite either Russian operatives or ignorant of election law. It just does not.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago (1 children)

They have a different opinion? I mean, for the love of God - there are numerous Democrat politicians who are calling for a replacement. It's fucking childish to say all of those people are either Russians or ignorant of electorial law. I mean, grow up!

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago (1 children)

I don't understand how anyone who understands election law can seriously be suggesting a replacement.

For example, a new Democratic candidate wouldn't be eligible to be on the ballot in Ohio. It would be just handing a state to Trump.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago

So all the members of Biden's own party who want him replaced are Russian assets or don't understand electorial law? That's your point of view?

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