this post was submitted on 13 Jun 2024
17 points (94.7% liked)

Te Wai Pounamu / South Island

277 readers
1 users here now

Kia ora and welcome to the Te Wai Pounamu / South Island community!

A community for Te Wai Pounamu / South Island related conversations.

General rules:

Credit to @[email protected] for the banner photo!

founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
 

A recent Master's thesis has found a Milford Sound tsunami - triggered by a landslide - may leave no survivors, with as many as 3500 dying if the wave hits during the peak of the tourist season.

The new modelling, which builds on more than a decade of research, shows the best chance of survival relies on people running for higher ground before the shaking stops.

The best-case scenario shows 5.2 percent of people would survive the wave, and in this case the tsunami would have to hit at night, during the winter offseason, when only a few hundred people would be in the area.

Edited title to make it sound less like there was just a tsunami and everyone died.

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[โ€“] [email protected] 4 points 5 months ago (4 children)

Scary, yes. But it's funny really in some regards, when you think about our tolerance to risk - I live practically on top of the Alpine Fault yet barely give it a second thought. And we're up in Auckland for the weekend - I was surprised to discover that Rangitoto Island is only 600 years old - 2M+ people living 'on' a barely dormant volcano is kinda terrifying.

I'm sure there's a name for the formal Fallacy that applies here - Acceptable Risk maybe?