this post was submitted on 23 Mar 2024
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[–] [email protected] 29 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (14 children)

Gen Z is too young to even have stats on this. There is a decline in TFR due to the contradictions of capitalism so I expect this will be the case, but how can you say this when the oldest zoomers just reached average childbearing age?

[–] [email protected] 17 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (13 children)

The oldest zoomers are nearing 30 what do you mean?

[–] [email protected] 15 points 7 months ago (3 children)

The average age to have kids in the US is 27

[–] [email protected] 9 points 7 months ago

The 27 stat seems a few years old, 2022 census has median child bearing at 30

[–] [email protected] 7 points 7 months ago (1 children)

So half of the people have kids later than that. An average isn't a median.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 7 months ago (2 children)

You've got it mixed up, if the median age was 27 half would be younger. With the average, it's possible only 40% are younger, but they are having them significantly younger. Maybe 40% have kids at 22, and 60% at 29.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 7 months ago

You're right, I'm in no state to be making posts where I say math stuff rn. Ten hour absolutely brutal kitchen day. I did the thing I was calling out.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 7 months ago

there's some confederate states where they keep stats on repeat teen pregnancy so that might mess up the math a bit

[–] [email protected] 7 points 7 months ago (2 children)
[–] [email protected] 10 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Yea which means iridaniotter was correct in saying the oldest zoomers just reach average childbearing age.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 7 months ago

Yes but we all know that statistic is already skewed due to people having children at an older age than past generations. If they’re reaching the average childbearing age now, that’s already older than past averages. I guess I’m more so commenting on the part where they said how it was possible to have statistics on this when Gen Z is barely at average childbearing age. It’s possible because they’re comparing it to past generations.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Roughly two-thirds of 25-29 year olds are childless, and we have no idea what % of that two-thirds will choose to have kids in their 30's

[–] [email protected] 6 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Yes that means they’re already older than previous generations for having children that’s my point.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 7 months ago (1 children)

I thought your point is gen z's old enough now to have stats on if they'll have kids or not. I'm saying we'll have to wait until they're several years older to get an idea on if they're never having them or just pushing it off

Also, the oldest, borderline gen zers will have very similar numbers to the youngest millennials. you'd wanna get a scope of middle gen z and the average zoomer is still like 19/20

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

The point of the initial poster was that how can you know what the trend for having children at whatever age is already for Gen Z if they just reached the average age to have children? But they’re already trending older than the average of past generations. You don’t really need to wait another 5 or 10 years, the trend is already there and the causes for that trend don’t look to be going away anytime soon.

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