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we never did what we were claiming to do with your data but this time we'll really delete it if you pay us, promise
I feel like paying for your data to be removed will be used as further evidence by the Feds of your identity. If you just leave it be, you can claim plausible deniability and suggest that anyone can use any address as a decoy/dead drop, which is a common tactic for dark web vendors.
Yeah that’s a fairly common understanding of the situation thus far. Speculation at this point is that they are already in cooperation with the Feds and have been for some time
I won't be surprised if this is a CIA fundraising thing.
The CIA definitely works with crypto to acquire black market cyber tools, among other illicit activities, but I can’t imagine the profits from a market ransom being that great compared to traditional gun running and drug trafficking (or just creative banking and front orgs).