this post was submitted on 14 Nov 2024
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Realistically how likely is secession? Pretty unlikely, right? What's the process like?
States can not secede from the Union. That was Lincoln's rational for reforming the Union. Since states didn't have the right to leave, they had never left to begin with.
https://www.nps.gov/liho/learn/historyculture/secessiontableofcontents.htm
And before anyone brings it up, Texas cannot secede.
https://www.texastribune.org/2021/01/29/texas-secession/
"Can't?" States are not supposed to secede. People aren't supposed to commit crimes either, but they do. Some even get away with it.
As we learned from the American Civil War, the southern states were incapable of seceding. However this isn't the question at hand. The above user asked this:
There is no such process.
The outcome of a war 160 years ago has utterly no relation to how a decision to secede would play out today. I use the word "process" in place of "whatever sequence of actions" might occur if states were to assert their intent to separate from the country. "Secession" might not even be an appropriate term - a resolution could be introduced, through all the correct and proper channels, for the United States to dissolve in an organized fashion, as the Soviet Union did in 1991. There's really no point saying any political proposal "can't" happen.
My point is the North employed violence in the form of a successful military campaign to maintain the Union. Where the North failed was following up with a re-education campaign to squash southern propaganda, such as the myth of the Lost Cause.
There is, it worked once and failed once in our history
Step 1: Declare independence from the other government
Step 2: don't lose the war
Step 2 is the hard part, admittedly
I think California would need to change a few gun laws before trying to go to war against the ret of the US.
Tell me you don't live here (or know someone who does) without directly saying it
I've seen mounted MGs in the mountains, my guy, you don't know what's actually here and in the hands of some CRAZY leftists. I know 2 different people who have offered me very illegal arms should shit ever hit the fan, one of them owns a functional truck they just need to slide a tripod into the back into some homemade brackets and they can have a mounted MG truck in like 10m
Fuck, I've seen an actual RPG get shot (that was wild)
You're right, I've never been to California to experience things first hand. I was hanging in the Nevada desert with a group of 2A's that make their own ammo, shooting things that were most likely war crimes, and they had nothing nice to say about California and their laws.
Probably not the best source, but it's the one I have.
Our laws aren't amazing, I'll grant them that an annoying amount of them are for show only, but those kinds of guys don't actually know what the law is here, they just assume shit because we're a liberal state that is known to have gun laws
I've unironically seen people that are into guns at that same level claim you cant buy an AR-15 here and meant it, which is patently ridiculous
The 10 round magazine limit was probably their biggest gripe
The only thing that prevented the south from seceding was Lincoln's re-election. Literally.
Also, the North's industrialization which allowed the North to outman, outgun, and outrailroad the South.
https://www.nps.gov/articles/industry-and-economy-during-the-civil-war.htm
And if Lincoln's opponent (McClellan) had won in 1864, he would have allowed the South to secede anyway...
Without industrializing the North could have lost the war to the South as they would have been more evenly matched. The North needed to win the political battle, the war, and then after the war, the culture war. They won the first two, but we are still fighting the culture war.
For sure. I would say that we definitely lost the last one. We fucked up restoration, and haven't recovered.
We're not dead yet. So we're still fighting.