this post was submitted on 29 Apr 2024
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Environment
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It's worth noting that even in the best case where we hit net zero by 2050, we will still be dealing with 1.25-2 degrees of warming for centuries. We will have to go significantly negative to get back to where we started. In worse scenarios we will be dealing with 2-3 degrees of warming for centuries.
2-3°C is the worst case if we stick to existing policy. If we flinch or back down on those policies, then the sky's the limit.
Yeah and another war would cause those policies to go on the backburner immediately. For example nobody in Ukraine cares about greenhouse emissions now, they are dashing their diesel tanks through the mud like there is no tomorrow. And in fairness, if they don't do that there may not be a tomorrow for them. So a lot of this depends on world stability. Which is pretty unlikely with the type of 'leaders' the world is seeing now IMO.